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Tuesday, November 30, 2010

STI and SPX Near Bottom

STI's Likely Stocks Pick and Top 3300/3500
Property - Capitaland (laggard stock) and Keppel Land
Marine - Keppel Corp (Potential Petrobas award)

SPX seems to be bottom. Hope both Koreas don't spoil the stock markets! Top near 1250 and may touch 1300 if no bad news from Europe!

Also watch comex copper market trend - break 400!

Wednesday, November 24, 2010

STI Near Bottom

STI has been hammered down to near bottom. STI May trend down further.  Property clamping down at HK and China will shift Asia and USD fund to Singapore property market. Buy on dip blue chips near RSI bottom, Capitaland and Keppel Land, and hold till stock price top or STI near TOP! News on Capitaland for reference http://www.propertylaunch.sg/Singapore-Property-New-Launch/D'LEEDON.php

Hope both Koreas will be back to peace asap!

Wednesday, November 17, 2010

Comex Copper Market Trend

China monetary tightening news due to inflation shocked the commodities from higher high to lower low! Copper was not spared and RSI trending near short term bottom. Monitor comex copper market trend over the next few days. Short term top 400 this year.

Tuesday, November 16, 2010

SPX Bull Market Trend

Stocks rose Monday following a jump in October retail sales and a handful of M&A news. Robert Doll, chief equity strategist at BlackRock, shared his outlook... “The dollar’s oversold, commodities have extended a little far, so I think we’re taking a pause, but I don’t think the cyclical bull market’s over.”
Read the full article by Robert Doll at http://www.cnbc.com/id/40194406

Comments : SPX bull market trend likely TOP 1250/1300. SPX RSI near bottom... Monitor closely...

Monday, November 15, 2010

SSE Bull Market Trend

...With the current correction, Tang said he is more convinced the market will see a "longer" and "higher" bull run...  Continue to read from http://www.cnbc.com/id/40188980

Comments : Today surges in SSE stock market over 3000 index points is a strong sign of bull market trend after consolidation. SPX will likely end consolidation this week and trend higher towards 1300 before TOP. HSI 29000 (more ambitious TOP of 33000 by Q1 2011) Top this year likely achievable with USD continues to flow to Hong Kong (currency being pegged to USD) and divert to other Asia markets; STI, KLSE... and Properties... Rotational regional market rally in the making!

Saturday, November 13, 2010

QE2 Stock Market Trend

Watch QE2 ($105 billions) November 12 to December 9, the 1st "pounding" effects on Asia Stock Markets and SPX (Likely Rise to 1300 (TOP) and consolidate till Q1 2011 lead by banking and technology sectors).

QE2 schedule http://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/tot_operation_schedule.html

Thursday, November 11, 2010

SSE And HSI Stock Markets Trend Up

HSI and SSE stock markets or shares trend higher by inflation data. HSI shares rose 0.82 per cent as stock market professional traders accumulated blue-chip stocks on data showing inflation rose at its fastest pace in more than two years in October. USD may trend up in the short term and reverse the market trend as more money flows out to Asia and emerging stock markets. Singapore Straits Times Index (STI) consolidating for higher high...

STI - observed blue-chip stocks from the same sectors with strong balance sheet, good profit growth and strong management team, certain stocks move near year 2007 TOP and peer(s) being shorted down (consolidating for the past few months)... Is this the trading "art" by a team of professional stock market traders - Just Guessing! Stocks Near 2007 Top will be shorted soon and vice-versa for near bottom blue-chip stocks. Run through the index stocks and make your own analysis in stocks investment.

Over reliance on stock market analysts to invest - both bias and optimistic reports from different security houses with varied objectives (can vary extremely?)... High Risk where certain analysts upgraded index-stocks near year 2007 Top (need a break)! Very Interesting Stock Market Reports.

Should read over a cup of coffee/tea and zoom in "over shorted" blue-chip stock(s) where the retail "shortists" join the tail-end game of Professional Market Traders. We think retail investors should BUY ON DIPs and HOLD over-shorted index stock(s) for higher returns (30% or higher) with lower risk. RSI near or below 30% is closed to Bottom - stock charts may tell you to stay away but we think otherwise! Likewise at SSE, HSI...

Morgan Stanley Stock Markets Investment Strategy

... "One of the great investment decisions someone could make today is to be invested in the equity markets, especially in the emerging markets," said Charles Reinhard, Morgan Stanley Smith Barney's global investment strategist at a press briefing on the the firm's 2011 outlook.

The S&P 500 Index [SPX ... Continue reading at http://www.cnbc.com/id/40113027

Comments : Trader's Stock Market Trend - Focus on emerging stock markets and Asia such as HSI, STI... or Asia related laggard blue chips (good balance sheet over 5 years and good profit growth from Asia with strong management but shorted to near 6 months low recently despite equities keep rising). Refer to previous post "Stock Markets Top" on Trader's Stock Market Trend - a projected view only reviewing Trader's Sentiment, Economic Fundamental and last Technical Charts (driven by traders stock market investment).

Wednesday, November 10, 2010

Stock Markets Top

Copper market trend consolidating. Higher high and higher low.
> 400  (1st Top 400 - Done in early November 2010! Next Top could be higher than 450 due to semi-conductor conversion from gold to copper, QE2, etc.)

STI near 3500 (blue chips stock) stock market TOP but mid cap stocks, and penny stocks may continue rotational rally.

SSE near 3800 Top (stock market top may roll over to early 2011).

HSI near 29000/33000 Top (stock market top may roll over to early 2011)

SPX - if USD continues flowing out till Q1 2011 to Asia, likely a near 2Qs consolidation till end Q1 2011. Stock market index upside will be limited with top at 1300. Let's monitor... VIX likely cap at 15 to 20 range.

Gold - will continue to trend higher high regardless of positive or negative economic news.

No major market reversal at Asia especially from China, India, US... above stock market TOPs are within reach this year (expect the unexpected - UPs and Down)

Tuesday, November 9, 2010

SPX Near Top

Stock market professional traders will shift a bigger % of their money to Asia once SPX near TOP and park balance fund likely in GOLD, Asia related ETFs in USD, ... SPX will consolidate for a "prolonged" period till fund retreat back to USD currency from Asia stock markets likely around late Q1 2011. Expect the unexpected at Asia key stock/equity markets starting from HSI, SSE, STI... No major reversal from SSE (China economy), buy on dip laggard blue chip stocks and HOLD for higher profit!

Thursday, November 4, 2010

HSI 29000 By Goldman Sachs

...Goldman Sachs raised its 12-month target for the Hang Seng to 29,000, saying the city had the most to gain from China's growing economy and quantitative easing programs in the United States. That helped boost the Hang Seng to a fresh 28-month high.  Continue to read http://www.cnbc.com/id/40000083

Refer to previous trader's stock market trend posting, rise sharply, drop fast... and rise very sharp! Still neutral and watching...  

Stock Market Trend Will Be Higher High 1 Year

QE2, quantitative easing (expect more QE in the future due to US political objectives), will sustain stock market secular bear market trend higher high till 2012 instead of 2011. Likely stock market major reversal after US president election. Many stock market trend opportunities (UPs and DOWNs) but avoid falling knife for each short term cycle. Expect more capital outflow from USD to Asia and emerging stock markets for higher returns. Still neutral and watching the trader's stock market trend...

Tuesday, November 2, 2010

Stock Market Trend May Rise Sharply And Drop Fast

If QE2 happens this week, stock market secular bear trend will
1.  Rise sharply
2.  Drop fast...
3.  Rise very sharply in Q1 2011

Gold may rise sharply but foreign investors will be wary of US currency depreciation by 10% or more by end of this year. Economists projecting up to 20% depreciation next year if QE2 kicks off.

Money will flow aggressively to emerging markets and Asia. Asia's laggard blue chips with strong balance sheet and profit growth, follow by laggard mid-cap stocks and may include small cap speculative stocks up sharply before pulling back... Nevertheless, caution on major stock market trend reversal this week if any! We're neutral and prefer to buy at near bottom and catch stock market trend "Rise very sharply"...

Monday, November 1, 2010

Small U.S. businesses September Loan Up

A surge in borrowing by small businesses can be a harbinger for the broader economy, because small firms account for as much as 80 percent of new U.S. hiring... continue to read Here

We're still neutral... Trader's stock market trend growing positive... 

China October PMI Up 54.7 from 53.8

1.  China PMI led by strong domestic demand
2.  Weaker export
3.  Economists expect 3 more rate increases within 6 months

We're still neutral and watching 3rd November... Trader's stock market trend!