Jim Cramer 2011 Stock Market Predictions

Jim Cramer's Dow 30 stock market predictions

Comments : SPX may hit 1400 TOP before June 2011! SPX 2011 TOP still 1400. Tread cautiously over the stock market secular bear market phases... Neither bearish nor bullish for 2011 even the economy is positive due to "fear" monger press to cap the SPX TOP!  Asia and emerging stock markets will lead in 2011 especially SSE after 2010 consolidation.

Doug Kass Shorting Stock Market

...If you agree with Doug Kass, the next question would be 'are stocks a buy after the correction and ahead of the next leg higher."...  Read Doug Kass' stock market net short position full article

Doug Kass's  2011 15 stock market predictions for reference.

Comments : SPX pulll back around 30 or maximum 50 points and stock market trend higher high. What's your stock market trend for 2011 1st Q? We're neither bearish or bullish on the stock market secular bear trend for 2011. Exercise caution for every phase...

Douglass Kass on US Stocks

Audio download on Douglass Kass on US Stocks... Douglass Kass 2011 stock market predictions in earlier posting for reference. Doug Kass's foresight in stock market pickings is respected by stock market traders!

Recap Doug Kass 2011 Stock Market Predictions

Doug Kass 2011 stock market predictions for reference. China hiked interest rate by 0.25 on 25th December (Christmas), what is the effect? Copper market trend higher high this week. China copper stockpile reducing and coincide with rate increased! Stock market will continue higher high in January/February 2011 and watch copper market trend...

Mark Hulbert - US Real GDP Peaks 2008-2009

...The United States economy is today back to where it stood at its peak prior to the Great Recession of 2008-2009... Therein lies a tale, which Fosback finds very significant when assessing the stock market’s potential. The lack of attention to the magnitude of the recovery has been caused, in his opinion, by “the extraordinary pessimism enveloping the consumer investing population, fanned by a fear-mongering financial media.” That skepticism, in turn, has played a big role in holding the stock market back from even bigger gains in recent months.  http://www.marketwatch.com/story/real-gdp-now-at-pre-recession-levels-2010-12-24

Comments : Happy Merry Christmas and Happy New Year, 2011. US Fundamental is getting stronger as we move to year 2011. Stock markets - SPX 1300 in January or early February, and may STI near 3500 TOP. Watch Copper market trend consolidation and TOP at 450 or higher and Shanghai Composite Index, SSE rides beyond 3000 again!

Best Time to Buy Stocks

The woman who predicted the 1987 stock market crash says now is the best time to buy stocks that she has seen in decades...

"In Japan, after they implemented QE1 [quantitative easing], and they did it with aggression, the stock market [Nikkei] went up 50 percent. The second time they did it with aggression, like we're [U.S.] doing it, the stock market went up 80 percent. When they stopped QE, the stock market went down 50 percent," she said.

"QE does help the stock market, doesn't always help the economy," she said... http://www.cnbc.com/id/40782095

2011 Bullish Stock Market Strategists

...Bullish Strategists
Emerging-market stock strategists at UBS, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase & Co., Credit Suisse Group AG and Morgan Stanley are more optimistic than their counterparts following the U.S. and Europe.

The average of five estimates for the MSCI index next year is 1,463, or 30 percent higher than yesterday’s level and 9.3 percent above the all-time closing high on Oct. 29, 2007. Strategists are calling for a 9.9 percent gain in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index and a 14 percent advance for the Stoxx Europe 600 Index, according to the average of estimates in Bloomberg surveys.

“There’s a growing realization that in some ways emerging markets are a safe place to be,” said Mark Mobius, who oversees about $34 billion as executive chairman of Templeton Emerging Markets Group. “I’m quite optimistic.” ... http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-12-15/no-more-bears-for-emerging-markets-unsettles-investors-shunning-conformity.html

Comments : 2011 1st TOP likely January/early February and follow by around 5% correction before 2nd TOP around May/June! Fundamental is getting more positive. Stock market shortists will likely contribute > 50% bonus to bull market traders! Watch CBOE put/call ratio and Strong demand on copper market trend...

SPX 2011 Target

SPX (S&P500) 2011 Target
Deutsche Bank -  1550
Goldman Sachs -1450 
Barclay's Capital -1420
J.P. Morgan -1425
Doug Kass - same as year 2010 (1246 or higher?)

Elliot wave principle - what is 2011 target? Bearish in a secular bear stock market or ...

Copper Market Trend

Copper charged up to 4.2! Likely to consolidate till next week. Copper market trend seems to be moving towards 4.5 TOP in January 2011. Monitor closely and effects on Stock Market Trend. STI still targetting 3450/3500 TOP and SPX 1300 in January 2011. Again, both Koreas better be peaceful. 

Spain 83 Billion-Euro Stimulus

MADRID - The Spanish government on Friday announced an 83-billion-euro investment plan for 2011-2015 to make industry 'the engine of growth and job creation' while maintaining its deficit reduction goals.
Source - Singapore Business Times

Comments : Fundamental Positive Sign for stock market

China November CPI 5.1%

Consumer prices rose 5.1 percent from a year earlier, driven by food costs, a statistics bureau report showed in Beijing today. That was more than the 4.7 percent median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey of 29 economists. In October, inflation was 4.4 percent...  Inflation may have peaked in November and will probably soften this month as “price intervention” takes effect and the impact of earlier price increases washes out of year-on-year comparisons, Wang Qing, a Hong Kong-based economist at Morgan Stanley, said in Dec. 6 note.  http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-12-11/china-s-inflation-tops-5-adding-pressure-for-wen-to-raise-interest-rates.html

Comments : Fear factor rises in the markets this week (Bear vs Bull Stock Markets) - Asia and SPX (RSI near 80%)! Buy on Fear (Likely Short and Sharp consolidation, And ... 50% year-end sponsorship by shortists).  Bull will continue to charge forward...

China November ScoreCard

1.  China's trade surplus at $22.9 billion (October $27.1 billion)
2.  China's exports jumped 34.9% (October 22.9%) But imports grew at a faster pace of 37.7% (October's 25.3%) 
3.  China's property market cool down - Monthly 0.3 percent gain implies a 3.6 percent annual increase, which is lower than inflation, she said. China’s consumer prices climbed 4.4 percent in October... http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-12-09/property-prices-in-70-chinese-metropolitan-areas-rise-7-7-from-year-ago.html

Comments : STI down on worry of further China's interest rate tightening... SPX near Top 1250 after 2 attempts to cross 1235! Third attempt soon before consolidation or "very short" consolidation and continue rising to year end 1300 Top! SSE will be a signal to tilt the markets down sharply or push higher to year end (more likely from above fundamental facts - awaiting China to release mass market housing programs)... Bear big traders won big in 2009, But Bull big traders won this year todate...

Barton Biggs, Credit Suisse and John Dorman Predictions

Barton Biggs Market Sentiment!
Demand from Asia is spurring a bull market for computer and software makers, according to Barton Biggs, manager of the Traxis Partners LLC hedge fund... “There are all kinds of doomsayers wandering around mumbling about a bubble that’s going to burst,” he said. “China’s done a magnificent job of engineering a soft landing.”  http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-12-06/biggs-says-technology-at-start-of-bullish-cycle-on-asian-demand-tom-keene.html

Credit Suisse : Kopsi - Overweight on Technology!
...Credit Suisse has an “overweight” recommendation on technology companies, saying the industry offers the best return potential should global growth prove to be more resilient than investors expect. It also favors financial shares because of their “decent” earning recovery outlook... http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-12-01/s-korea-s-kospi-may-rise-to-2-300-in-2011-credit-suisse-says.html

John Dorman Overweight on Auto Stocks
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-12-06/auto-stocks-look-attractive-as-sales-rebound-commentary-by-john-dorfman.html

Comments : SPX Top 1300 (or higher) year end or early January 2011 very likely... SPX this week likely Fast consolidation and scale up! Watch SSE (likely end consolidation this week), both Koreas (peace!) and EU no further major events! Also watch Copper market trend (may Top near 450)

SPX Up SSE Consolidating

View SPX vs SSE chart for reference. http://www.cnbc.com/id/40569607

Comments : SPX will be consolidating soon and surge higher high towards 1300 (1250 1st Top resistance)when SSE surges to early January 2011!

Doug Kass Stock Market, SPX 2011 Predictions

1. Doug Kass: Shortage of 'This' Could Roil 2011 Markets
2. Doug Kass: Jaw Dropping Prediction For 2011
3. Doug Kass: This Giant Tech Takeover, A 2011 Surprise...   http://www.cnbc.com/id/40532530

Goldman Sachs 2011 SPX Forecast

Goldman Sachs is bullish on the U.S. economy for 2011, and forecasts U.S. stocks will see their third straight year of gains.

The investment banking powerhouse sees the S&P 500 [.SPX 1223.12 -1.59 (-0.13%) ] gaining nearly 25 percent to a level of 1450 in the next 12 months, fueled by strong corporate profits, easy monetary policies and an improving U.S. economy... http://www.cnbc.com/id/40530212

Comments : SPX 1450 likely TOP 1st half of 2011 (likely QE4/5 has been released) and Dip! Double Top end 2011/early 2012.

Ben Bernanke QE3 $600 Billion

Dec. 3 (Bloomberg) -- Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke defended the Fed’s decision to purchase $600 billion in Treasury securities and didn’t rule out expanding the program, in an interview for CBS television’s “60 Minutes,” the network said...  http://noir.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aXZbfhSFuxo0&pos=3

Comments : Below expectation job growth hitting 9.8% with QE3 in the process will see more funds flowing to Asia (SSE, HSI, STI) and emerging stock markets. SPX Top 1300 or surprise with further upside! Let's monitor and hope both EU and two Koreas no negative events to upset the bullish (big rally) stock markets.

China's Gold Demand

Dec. 2 (Bloomberg) -- China’s gold imports in the first 10 months jumped almost fivefold from a year earlier to 209 metric tons, said Shen Xiangrong, chairman of the Shanghai Gold Exchange.

“The expectation for higher inflation has fueled great interests among investors to hold physical gold, which led to higher imports,” shen said. China imported 45 tons for the entire of 2009, he said.

Cramer: Make Money, Believe in Ben Bernanke

...“I’m a believer in Bernanke,” Cramer said, “a believer in the IMF. I’m a believer in [ECB President] Trichet. That’s what the market’s saying—they’re going to win.”... http://www.cnbc.com/id/40453212

Comments : But Keep cash when SPX near TOP